Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Best Practice: Sales Growth through Inventory Reinvestment



By Dr. Barry Lawrence, Texas A&M University




and Dr. Ismail Capar, Texas A&M University



One step forward and two steps back is what it seems at times with this economy. Still, most are starting to look at growth as the next objective. Distributor growth will, in fact, be the next consortium for the Council for Research on Distributor Competitiveness (CRDC), the joint research effort of the NAW Institute for Distribution Excellence and Texas A&M’s Supply Chain Systems Laboratory. The NAW Institute Board of Directors selected the topic even before the recovery began, and the concept is now gaining momentum in the industry.

In last month’s blog, we addressed growing sales from a customer stratification and sales force redeployment perspective. This month we will discuss another growth perspective: Inventory Reinvestment. Distributor growth can be thought of as moving along in three dimensions: organic, vertical and horizontal integration, and expansion.

Organic refers to growing business with existing customers or new ones coming to us through our standard business practices. Strategies surround creating a more effective sales effort and marketing tools.

Vertical integration involves moving up or down the supply chain by taking on manufacturing or retail processes. Horizontal integration refers to taking on new functions like repair or consulting services. Strategies include acquisitions or developing new service capabilities.

Expansion takes on two forms: geographic and product driven. Geographic expansion refers to growing within new territories. Strategies include opening new operations and acquisitions. Product-driven expansion involves new product offerings. Strategies include taking on new product lines from existing suppliers or adding new suppliers. Each of the foregoing expansion strategies requires some sort of investment. Since most firms have limited resources, the strategies require an understanding of how return-on-investment (ROI) will be affected by each strategy. Those growth strategies with the highest ROI should get the scarcest resources. An even more difficult decision requires comparing existing investments to new strategies to potentially stop doing one thing in favor of a new higher ROI opportunity.


The new NAW Institute for Distribution Excellence book, Optimizing Distributor Profitability: Best Practices to a Stronger Bottom Line (available at http://www.naw.org/optimizdistprof), details best practices, their implementation, and ROI. These practices are valid in any economy, but the significance of one best practice versus another may change under different market conditions. Each month in this blog, we are introducing a best practice and how it can improve earnings and/or ROI under current economic conditions. Through this blog, we encourage readers to ask questions, debate results, and offer their own experiences with such practices so that we may further the knowledge of the community and the understanding of the science of distribution.





Best Practice: Sales Growth through Inventory Reinvestment

In our August blog entry, we addressed inventory reduction through best practices like inventory stratification. One approach is to reduce inventory, which eases cash flow problems and improves ROI through reducing the denominator (assets) in the equation. The strategy does not, however, grow sales. Pursued too aggressively, in fact, inventory stratification will reduce sales on C and D inventory and not add any back. Inventory stratification can be performed at branch level—or local ABC—and company level—or global ABC—and combined in a single matrix to determine inventory deployment strategies and business decisions at the company level. Common strategies are:

  • Increase service levels. If items are A and B at both branch and company level
  • Review/eliminate. If items are C and D at both branch and company level
  • Evaluate. If items are A or B at branch level and C or D at company level
  • Redeploy. If items are C or D at branch level and A or C at company level

World-class distributors receive a 300% or better ROI on their A and B item inventory (based on gross margin contribution). No other investment can give a greater return, so a reduction in inventory to invest in other forms of business does not make sense. The most powerful approach would be to reinvest in A and B inventory. The strategy is organic in nature and requires that the opportunity to reinvest be available.

Reinvestment can take the form of increasing inventory on A and B items to improve their fill rates. A higher fill rate on the most important items will lead to an increase in sales, since fewer stock outs mean fewer lost sales and the resultant higher customer satisfaction level will lead to a greater share of the customer’s business. The process is doubly effective since the high turn rate on A and B items means that the small changes in inventory (lower holding costs) will have a big impact on service levels (lower stock out costs). Properly applied, you can have your cake (lower inventory) and eat it too (increased sales) by significantly decreasing C and D items and marginally increasing A and B items. Best practice purchasing policies are shown in the following figure.


In an interesting example, a distributor for grocery stores was trying to decrease C and D inventory. The company decided to implement a rule that when the purchasing department placed an order, they could not use C and D items to make truckload quantity. Purchasing would have extra space on the truck and would buy larger quantities to make truckload freight rates. Since volume levels on A and B items guaranteed the highest discount possible, purchasing logically took on more C and D items to get discounts there as well. The practice had created large slow-move inventories.

Purchasing, therefore, was forced to use A and B items to make truckload. The company reduced C and D inventory significantly, but was surprised when overall fill rates rose and sales increased as stock outs on A and B items dropped.



An Expansion Example

A number of distributors have used a technique called “storefronts.” The process consists of opening more locations with “A” item inventory only and serving other items from regional distribution centers. Contractor-serving distributors will commonly use this method to combat the “big boxes” (retailers). The distributor’s advantage comes from more locations closer to the customer coupled with a professional sales force. Retailers follow a similar strategy of “A” item inventory only, but they do not field as strong a sales force.

The inventory requirements are minimal since the storefronts can be replenished from a central warehouse on almost a daily basis along with slow-move items not carried by the storefront. As a result, facilities can be kept very small. The process allows for high sales with fewer assets (high ROI). The decreased need for inventory assets frees up resources to open more storefronts (geographic expansion).



An Integration Example

Integration has failed many times when manufacturers have purchased distributors. Distributors have a slightly better record when they add light manufacturing. Common examples have included building materials distributors who take on paint mixing lines (vertical integration). Fluid power distributors often will carry out systems integration responsibilities by building larger, more complex or specialized, power units from products they already carry (horizontal integration).

Integration takes advantage of assets already in place to add a new function or service. It often fails when the new process is performed poorly (not a core competency) and ROI requirements are not achieved.

Home Depot attempted horizontal integration when it purchased Hughes Supply. When the firm added distribution as a function, it found that the new division, HD Supply, could not meet the firm’s ROI requirements, and so they were forced to sell it.



Reinvesting

Inventory strategies allow for many reinvestment opportunities. If nothing more can be done with existing A and B items and no new products can be added, other forms of expanding inventory impacts, like storefronts or integration, can be employed. Whatever the choice, ROI is king and failure to optimize it guarantees failure. The following exhibit describes the link between stratification and shareholder value.

6 comments:

  1. Holding costs can be used to drive effective inventory management if they are reviewed and evaluated regularly. If these costs are reviewed frequently, more attention will be drawn and therefore, efficient practices will be driven throughout operations. When I cam into my position in February we started a new process, sales reps have to come to me when they would like to order material that is over $10,000 if any of the purchased quantity will be touching our stock inventory (i.e. all of the purchase quantity is not going to be used on the sales order). If I approve and pass it up through management and they approve, then we can place the order. We do this so that there are signatures, comments, and documents listed on any material that is brought in and will affect our balance sheet. This documentation allows for accountability if an item doesn’t move and turns obsolete. This is one way in my firm that we are working towards measuring and managing our holding costs, from the bottom up, item by item to entire inventory. Also, this process reduces the risk of over-buying.

    Stockout costs are incurred when an order cannot be filled from the firm’s current on-hand inventory and are broken down into two types, lost sales costs and back order costs. They are quantified by the amount customer demand exceeds available inventory. (1) At my firm if we do not have the material in stock, we have options to give to the customer. For example, if the customer needs 8” outside diameter (OD) round bar and we only have 8.25” OD round bar, we can offer them this item and machine it to meet their specifications. Or we can go to a steel mill’s finished inventory and bring in the already finished inventory and offer this to our customer.

    Stockout costs drive effective inventory management because stockouts can decrease inventory levels and shrink market share along with many other negative effects on the firm. At my company we measure our stockout costs by running reports on how many buyouts (small buys from mill depots, competitors, and steel mill finished inventories) as well as lost sales. We keep track of this by sales daily entering into our “lost sales” system and other reporting software. I monitor our entire inventory daily and convert/modify material to fill the holes as well as place orders so that the risk of a stockout is minimal. (1)

    To better manage both our holding and stockout costs we use Consignment and Vendor Managed Inventory (C&VMI) for certain grade categories (our most broad item classification hierarchy). In a C&VMI agreement, the vendor owns the goods at the customer's location until they are sold, but also initiates orders on behalf of the customer. (2) Using this strategy, allows us to always have our “bread and butter” inventory available as well as access into other high-demand, high-dollar inventory items. Under this type of management system, we achieve cost savings because we are not paying the opportunity cost of the items in stock or the cost of placing the orders.

    References:
    1.Ballou, Ronald H. Business Logistics/Supply Chain Management. 5th ed. Upper Saddle
    River: Pearson Education, Inc., 2004. Print. Chapter 9

    2. Gümü?, Mehmet, Elizabeth M. Jewkes, and James H. Bookbinder. "Impact of consignment inventory and vendor-managed inventory for a two-party supply chain." International Journal of Production Economics 113.2 (2008): 502-17. Science Direct International. Web. 22 Sept. 2009.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Krystal, I agree that avoiding stock-out costs can help your bottom line. In my industry, sometimes the stock-out itself is hard to see since my company does not stock items on a warehouse shelf. In my industry, most view product inventory as total product inventory (tank inventory plus railcar inventory). There are many consequences to having a stock-out including the cost. Costs associated with stock-outs can be clerical costs, transportation costs, storage cost, handling costs and many more. I had a stock-out happen recently at my company. This stock-out was not due to the lack of product but, a lack of product in the right mode of transportation (railcars). There are stock-out costs associated with this incident. In addition to shipping and handling charges, there are administrative costs associated to this incident. The administrative costs are hard to put a $ amount on. Stock-out cost is definitely something to consider when evaluating and managing inventory. If your stock-out cost is high then it only makes sense to focus on minimizing stock-outs. If the stock-out cost is minimal then the focus might be on finding ways to keep inventory at minimum levels. One thing is certain; consider all the possible financial and business consequences of having a stock-out of your product.

    Avoiding and preventing stock-outs requires a company to look at ways to continuously improve by re-evaluating their systems when necessary or even on a routine basis. Looking for opportunities to improve your system by standardizing processes and creating internal controls is very important in organizational profitability. The proper internal procedures can improve your supply chain performance and company profitability while helping to prevent stock-outs.

    My company recently implemented an incident reporting system. Stock-out incidents will be entered into this new system. Part of the new system is corrective action and cost analysis. A root cause analysis will be done as part of the process. This analysis will determine what corrective actions need to be taken to help prevent the incident from happening again. In addition, the cost of the incident will be determined and documented. Our company has implemented this system with the goal of improving environmental compliance, customer service, safety performance, operation performance, and profitability. Systems like this are critical for all companies regardless of what type of business you operate. Our system has identified rules that will help us achieve our goal. Our discussions prove that people have different opinions and ideas. The key is to have a system that documents this and helps you evaluate the data. This will allow you to implement corrective action that works on fixing the problem. A point from an article I found, “To pull all those opinions together into one, cohesive, organizational interpretation that can then be acted upon, you need a process with rules.” (1) This point says it all; companies need a system to help them turn data into corrective action.

    “The cost of stock-outs can have a significant negative business impact. Approximately one half of all stock-outs result in lost sales.” (2) One thing is clear; the focus on improving all possibilities of stock-outs will improve the company’s bottom line.


    (1) Hofman, Debra. Supply Chain Management Review “Supply Chain Measurement: Turning Data Into Action”. http://www.scmr.com/article/CA6504624.html?q=root+cause+analysis. 1 Nov 2007
    (2) Jerold P. Cederlund, Rajiv Kohli, Susan A. Sherer, and Yuliang Yao -- Supply Chain Management Review, “How Motorola Put CPFR into Action”. http://www.scmr.com/article/CA6492750.html?q=stock%2Douts. 1 Oct 2007

    ReplyDelete
  3. Another aspect of stockouts that I wanted to touch on to Krystal Messina’s post is the opportunity that you may be losing along with the stockout. A lot of times in our industry when a customer calls to order materials, if we are out of something he may call a competitor to fill the order.

    For example, a customer calls in for a product we are currently out of and needs to order a few other items we might have as well. Instead of ordering partially from us and partially from competition, he or she may call our competitor to order the entire list of items he or she needs.

    “Measuring the cost of stockouts remains an unresolved problem because the relationship between the stockout and the value of the potentially resulting lost sales has not been quantified.” (1) Sometimes you may not even know you are missing out on other sales opportunities when a stockout occurs.

    1. Zinn, Walter, and Peter Liu. "Consumer Response to Retail Stockouts." bNet. 2001. Journal of Business Logistics, Web. 24 Sep 2009. http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qa3705/is_200101/ai_n8929220/.

    ReplyDelete
  4. As to points made by both Krystal and Tony, holding cost being very high can create many additional challenges. I have, for the most part, agreed with the theory of JIT. However, after reading about the different arguments for holding inventories in our text, I now see how different firms could show vast improvements in service and revenues by holding higher levels of inventories. EA might be able to achieve some benefits that include additional price-quantity discounts, forward buying to achieve lower prices, and the unplanned/unanticipated (delays from suppliers) 1. This is would prove beneficial specifically in the case of products that can be stored outside or have a lower carrying cost for various other reasons.

    I also like how your company handles stock outs with your customers. By customizing an alternate product to meet the demand for this customer, you are keeping their business with your firm while potentially expanding the customer’s satisfaction level with you. No business wants to turn away a customer because of stock outs. By offering your customer a higher quality product, the customer perceives a greater level of value that you hold in their business. Many companies would simply say they are out of stock of a certain material, or even refer this customer to another place of business that could take care of their product demands. The latter could prove to be very detrimental to your relationship with this particular customer if they receive quality service, good pricing and an overall good buying experience elsewhere. Next time they might think twice about coming to your place of business.


    1. Ballou, Ronald H. Business Logistics/Supply Chain Management. 5th ed. Upper Saddle
    River: Pearson Education, Inc., 2004. Print. Chapter 9

    ReplyDelete
  5. From a service industry stand point, let me educate you for a moment on my inventory stockouts- people. Originally, I didn’t think my business group could relate to stockouts, but after a little thought I realized our most value asset, our people, could run out in the near future. Normally I refer to our assets, physical escorts, as available capacity. If I make the analogy that they are part of an inventory I can bridge the gap.

    Given the current state of the economy high-value cargo theft is on the rise. We have several service offerings including point-to-point (P2P) escorts. These escorts can last up four days if someone is going from San Francisco to Atlanta for example. It is now holiday time and lots of consumer electronics are coming into various ports from Asia. We have had strong performances in recent years, but it looks like we are going to come quite close of stocking out of our P2P escorts. (I expect to be on the road myself doing some escorts very soon.)

    As I stated earlier, I think I can build a bridge to prepare a better “inventory” of personnel for the holiday shipping season of 2010. There are multiple ways to do this. I can calculate labor hours required, versus available labor hours, but there will always be the challenge of not knowing where the escort is needed, an “X” factor if you will. We have folks that go from Kentucky to Chicago and then hop on a plane to get to Newark all within 24 hours.

    Next, during this week’s lesson I have learned a valuable lesson in how my company can help our clients. There is an equation for “In-transit Inventory Carrying Cost.” (1) The equation for “In-transit Inventory Carrying Cost” can help my shippers in many ways. In the example above I listed that we conduct P2P escorts, but we also embed covert electronic tracking devices. Those devices (just like the escorts, but clients really like devices and devices are quite economical in comparison) provide the exact departure and arrival times of cargo from origins to destinations. Those devices will really be able to assist us with telling our clients how to reduce their inventory carrying costs. Many clients have never known what happens to their cargo over the road; we tell them now. Not only do we tell them, but we tell them why, where and how long their cargo has been stopped.

    The average movement of cargo over the road is calculated at 50 mph. In my organization we have found cargo movements that should take 10 hours, but they are actually taking 30 hours. If we use the “In-transit Inventory Carrying Cost” and work to optimize our client’s movement times, all the while increasing their security posture, we will probably have a security program that pays for itself and then some. Example: We gain 10 hours on a shipment that leaves once a week. The shipment is worth $10 million. After a year of optimizing their in-transit inventory by using our devices and monitoring the movement times of drivers we may have just saved our client $400,000 by assisting them in optimizing their supply chain. That is pretty exciting to me.

    The US Department of Transportation has made a website to reference “Electronic Freight Management.” It has discusses some areas of reducing carrying costs by placing proper orders, but does not go as in-depth into the initiative I want to start for my company. The website is: http://projects.battelle.org/fih/Value.htm. (2)

    References
    1. Ballou, Ronald H. Business Logistics/Supply Chain Management. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Pearson Prentice Hall, 2004.
    2. Butler, Randy. "Electronic Freight Management: Case Studies". Office of Freight Management and Operations . 24 Sep 2009

    ReplyDelete
  6. Indeed, air freight tracking is one of the features existing nowadays that prove the vast development in air cargo services. The freight worldwide is the best way to receive the services.

    ReplyDelete